The Best Actress race is one of the few categories that could go in one direction or another. It obviouslt has come down to Viola Davis or Meryl Streep. After Streeps' Golden Globe win it looked as though she could get the Oscar, but then Davis won the SAG. SAG is a much better Best Actress indicator than The Globes.
Glenn Close, Albert Nobbs-She has been in the mix all year. Albert Nobbs was not a very good film, but any time an actor portrays the opposite sex they seem to get a nomination.
Viola Davis, The Help-I am leaning toward Davis getting the Oscar this year. The Help swept the SAG's and everyone loved her speech. As with Dijuardin I think that they want to see Viola Davis win Best Actress. The first and last black actress Academy Awards was won by Halle Berry for Monster's Ball in 2001.
Rooney Mara, The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo-There is usually a new up and comer nominated in this category. Rooney Mara was a surprise because Dragon Tattoo has not won many of the critics awards leading up. She has many many years to win another time.
Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady-Certainly the runner-up. While The Iron Lady was flawed, her performance was great. Streep wins everything and we know that she is a great actress. It is time for someone else this year.
Michelle Williams, My Week with Marilyn-She is one of the best actresses we have today. Again, My Week with Marilyn is not a perfect film, but her portrayal as Monroe is unbelievable. I am happy to see her get a nomination. Williams was not even aware that the nominations were being announced when she heard the news. She learned from a friend on the phone.
I think Viola is the frontrunner as well, though Meryl could gain enough steam to derail her, but most likely not.
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